Greater Downtown Miami Flooded With 30-Month Supply Of Condos Listed For Sale During COVID-19 Pandemic

Sellers Ask Average Price Of $526 PSF For Condos Listed For Sale In Greater Downtown Miami

(This Report Is Powered By The Condo Vultures® Podcast Series Featuring Expert Peter Zalewski

DOWNTOWN MIAMI (Aug. 18, 2020) - More than 3,575 condo units are formally listed for sale in the Greater Downtown Miami market of Miami-Dade County in South Florida during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a new report from Condo Vultures® Realty LLC.

Based on condo sales of more than 118 units monthly in the first six months of 2020, Greater Downtown Miami now has more than a 30-month supply of units available for purchase in the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach during the traditional Summer Buying Season, according to the report based on data from the Southeast Florida MLS Matrix.

A balanced market is generally considered to have about six months of supply. More months of condo supply listed for sale suggests a buyer’s advantage and less months typically indicates a seller’s advantage in the market.

It is worth noting this report only tracks those Greater Downtown Miami condos formally listed for sale. The report does not factor in the nearly 47,750 new condo units currently in the development pipeline east of Interstate 95 in the tricounty South Florida region, according to CraneSpotters.com.

In this new COVID-19 pandemic era, numerous questions exist about how the South Florida residential real estate market will perform going forward, both in the short- and medium-term periods. After a typical start to the new year, the South Florida residential real estate market began to change dramatically at the end of the first quarter of 2020. 

When Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a "state of emergency to create a pathway to obtain funding and resources to stop the spread of COVID-19" on March 9, 2020, the South Florida residential real estate market continued to function, albeit with changes for safety that included social distancing and a push for virtual tours instead of buyer actually visiting properties.  

Nearly a month later on April 3, 2020, DeSantis instituted a 30-day "statewide stay-at-home order" that effectively shut down the Florida economy but in doing so deemed residential and commercial real estate businesses "essential services," according to an industry press report.

Despite the ability to transact real estate during the "stay-at-home order," it is unclear how many buyers have been willing to view properties - either in person or virtually - in hopes of purchasing residences. It is also unclear how many sellers have opened their properties to potential buyers given the contagiousness of the COVID-19 virus. 

Once the "stay-at-home order" was finally lifted on May 4, 2020 for nearly all of the state - excluding the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach - the Florida economy was thought to be in recession like much of the United States. Palm Beach County eventually opened its economy on May 11, 2020, and a week later both Miami-Dade and Broward counties opened for business on a limited basis on May 18, 2020.

A month later during the week of June 22, 2020, Miami-Dade and Palm Beach counties instituted mandatory mask wearing in public areas in response to a "spike" in the number of COVID-19 cases in the South Florida region, according to a press report. 

Broward County - located between Miami-Dade and Palm Beach counties - recommended but did not mandate masks be worn in public areas.

After Independence Day, Miami-Dade County took a step backward and shut back down restaurant dining rooms, party venues, gyms and short-term rentals due to a spike in new COVID-19 cases, according to a press report.    

With the situation worsening, the state of Florida surpassed New York on July 12 for the distinction of having the most new COVID-19 cases reported in a day with more than 15,300, according to a press report.  

A day later on July 13, an additional 12,624 new cases were reported in Florida, pushing the state number of COVID-19 cases to at least 282,435 with more than 121,000 cases in the tricounty South Florida region. On a county-by-county basis, Miami-Dade has nearly 67,715 cases, Broward has nearly 31,485 cases and Palm Beach has more than 21,800 cases, according to a press report. 

As of July 24, Florida had more than 402,300 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with nearly 5,700 deaths, according to the Florida Department Of Health's COVID-19 Data And Surveillance Dashboard.

On that same day, the tricounty South Florida region had about 172,440 confirmed cases - representing about 43 percent of the Florida total - and about 2,660 deaths - representing about 47 percent of the state total, according to the state dashboard. 

As of Aug. 18, the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in nearly 580,000 confirmed cases and more than 9,750 total deaths in Florida. In the tricounty South Florida region, there are about 252,000 cases and more than 4,150 deaths, according to the state website. 

On a county-by-county basis, Miami-Dade had more than 146,000 confirmed cases and more than 2,125 deaths; Broward had nearly 66,650 confirmed cases and about 1,025 deaths; and Palm Beach had more than 39,100 confirmed cases and more than 1,000 deaths, according to the state website.   

This being said, about 207 Greater Downtown Miami condo units are under contract and waiting to transact - or pending - at an average price of about $612,215 each or $447 per square foot, according to the statistics. 

The average asking price of a Greater Downtown Miami condo currently listed for sale is more than $757,750 per unit. This works out to an average asking price of about $526 per square foot, according to the data compiled by CondoVulturesRealty.com.

In the first six months of 2020, the average transaction price of a Greater Downtown Miami condo was about $511,478 or about $375 per square foot, according to the statistics.

This means the current asking price of a Greater Downtown Miami condo listed for sale is more than 48 percent higher than the average transaction price achieved on a per-unit basis and about 40 percent higher than the average transaction price on a per-square-foot basis between January and June of this year.

In the first half of 2020, the sellers who were able to unload their units needed about 164 days to transact a Greater Downtown Miami condo listed for sale. The current Days-On-The-Market average for a Greater Downtown Miami condo listed for sale is about 278, according to the statistics.

The number of Days-On-The-Market for the condo units currently under contract in Greater Downtown Miami is about 166, according to the statistics. 

CondoVulturesRealty.com is a licensed Florida brokerage that specializes in assisting buyers and tenants in value-oriented condo acquisitions and leases in the tricounty region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.

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